Propagation

The goal of the Tobago DXpedition was to work as many stations as possible who wished to contact the island of Tobago. There is no point in operating on a band, if it isn't open or is open to a region of the world for only a short period of time. As a result, we forecasted predicted openings on each band by major population center.

We made propagation predictions for this DXpedition using W6ELProp. W6ELProp produces useful charts that show when areas on the earth are likely to be open, based on solar conditions, time of day, and time of year. The charts display the predicted Maximum Usable Frequency (MUF) and the signal level and availability of the strongest ionospheric mode for each band on an hourly basis. "Ionospheric mode" refers to the hop configuration that radio waves take when they are refracted by the layers of the ionosphere and return to earth.

For clarity, we highlighted band openings in the charts when the predicted signal levels equaled or exceeded S9 (i.e., 30 dB) and when the predicted availabilities exceeded 75% probability (i.e., A). Other band openings were predicted to provide reliable communication but were not highlighted because they did not meet these criteria. For example, W6ELProp forecasted a band opening from Tobago to Europe on 15 meters from 1200 to 1600 UTC. Signal levels were predicted to exceed S7, with a better than 75% availability during this time period. As a result, we developed our operating schedule and frequency plan to take advantage of this opening, even though we didn't highlight it in the chart. There are other, similar examples in the charts, such as an opening to South Africa on 15 meters during this same time period.

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Bill Qualls, 9Y4/N4ZDL
4809 Barn Swallow Drive
Chesapeake, VA 23321
United States of America

Send comments and questions to: 9y4-n4zdl@cox.net
Date Revised: January 31, 2004
URL: http://members.cox.net/9y4-n4zdl/pages/prop.htm