Basic Logical and Metaphysical Problems with "Intelligent Design" Theory
by Chris Cogan (Copyright
2005)
Feedback,
discussion, comments, questions: Chris Cogan, ccogan@ou.edu
Besides
the argument from the Bible ("The Bible tells me so"), the main
argument for creationism is really just an argument against evolution, which is
the argument to the effect that living things are too complicated to have
arisen by naturalistic processes. This can be expanded in various ways, and
often is, but that is nearly all irrelevant to the point I want to make here,
which is that there is a problem with this entire category of argument,
a problem that is inherent in the premises, and that makes all such arguments
end up being self -refuting.
Note
that I said self-refuting, not merely unsound or invalid for some other reason.
By self-refuting, I mean that the required premises to support a claim that
something is too complicated to have arisen by natural processes unguided by a
mind or mind-like "designer" are such as to make the conclusion impossible
to sustain. A further implication of the argument I will develop is that there
is simply no limit, in principle, to the complexity that can arise by natural
processes. That is, as a general principle:
There
is, as a matter of logic, absolutely no upper bound on what may occur
naturally.
Finally,
I will show that the arguments from design cannot be salvaged by appeals to
probability. That is, it is never the case that complexity (even
"specified" complexity) can be used by itself in such a way as
validate the likelihood of an intelligence behind it.
This
may seem like a tall order, but it is actually a lot easier than I would have
guessed ten or twelve years ago. Most of the work is just a matter of clearing
away the overgrowth of foggy concepts and common misconceptions about
complexity and design.
Let's
start with a simplified, almost schematic, form of the argument from design:
1.
There
is some level of complexity beyond which any further complexity must be the
result of intelligent design.
2.
Whatever
this level of complexity is, it is way below the level of complexity of most
(or at least some) living organisms.
3.
Therefore,
most (or at least some) living organisms are the result of intelligent design.
My
argument is indirect: We start by hypothesizing that the first and second
premises are true, and then show that assuming these has consequences that are
fatal.
Suppose
that a bacterium (which is actually a common example of creationists) is too
complex to have arisen naturally and that we can therefore infer that there is
(or was) an intelligent designer who designed this bacterium.
Now,
let's consider the designer. Although ordinary creationists are quite willing
to specify various attributes of their designer, including omniscience and
omnipotence, the "Intelligent Design" brand of creationists tend to
be a little more discreet in their pronouncements except when they are
proselytizing (which, despite their claims of scientific objectivity, occurs
frequently even in their supposedly "scientific" books and articles,
but it is still not as prominent in their case as it is among the traditional
young-Earth creationists). In general,
the "Intelligent Design" creationists would like to hide their
presuppositions about the designer, because they hope to sneak
"Intelligent Design" into the public schools at taxpayer expense.
However,
taking a leaf from Dembski, even if we assume no special traits for our
imagined designer, it is still true that he must have at least the intelligence
of an ordinary human being, otherwise he will not be able to do much in the way
of design, intelligent or otherwise. People with low-wattage brains and
non-human animals don't do much designing, unless it's extremely simple (as when
chimps will strip a twig of leaves in order to stick it down an ant-hole).
Actually,
considering that no human on Earth can yet design and actually make a
full-fledged living organism from scratch, we probably need to suppose that the
designer would be a good deal more intelligent, or at least much more
knowledgeable, than any ordinary human is.
Further,
I'm sure that both the regular creationists and the "Intelligent
Design" creationists will claim that their designer is in fact very
intelligent, and very knowledgeable. They would claim, in anything but
one of their "scientific" pieces, that the designer is in fact
omniscient, though how they could possibly argue this from the level of
complexity of living things (or even the whole universe and living
things) is beyond me (couldn't a less-than-omniscient being nevertheless have
enough knowledge to design living organisms?).
But,
given that they must claim (for their religious purposes, if not for
"scientific" reasons) that their designer is at least superhuman, and
at least more complex than even a human being (including a human being's brain
and its function).
Fine,
the designer is more-complex than the things he/she/it/they design.
Here's
where the problem arises. The initial argument was that living things are too
complex to have arisen by unintelligent means alone. But, using that exact same
reasoning, we can now argue that the designer him-/her-/it- self is too
complex to have arisen by unintelligent means. Therefore, it must have
had a designer, too.
Am
I done? Can I say, "QED" and go home now?
Not
quite, because there is at least one "emergency exit" that
creationists can try to use at this point, which is the bizarrely arbitrary
claim that the imagined designer that they hypothesize is eternal and never
arose by any means at all.
Thus,
we have an extremely complex whatsit, one that had no origin. Are you beginning
to see the problem with their whole theory, even if we assume that such
a thing is possible (and they cannot show that it is)? It means that complexity
has no privileged status, that things that just are, without causation, can be
indefinitely complex, and complex in a very special way, at that. It is
no ordinary complexity that they imagine their designer to have, but
specifically the complexity of a very complex and well-ordered and extremely
well-developed mind, with complex information-storage and processing
facilities, ones well beyond our own or even beyond what we can even readily
imagine.
Obviously,
by their own premise, such a thing could not arise by chance, by naturalistic
processes, by evolution, or by any non-designer process at all, so their only
option is to claim that it always existed, and that it was always very
complex.
But,
the idea of such a being existing without having come into being is at
least as problematic as the idea that living things arose by naturalistic
processes, because it assumes that Existence (all that exists, including their
designer) is, at its very foundation, extremely complex.
And
yet, here they are touting just how unlikely it is for something extremely
complex to arise naturally, while at the same time claiming that the very basis
of existence is itself just naturally extremely complex, that it is extremely
complex, moreover, without ever having become so complex from a simpler
state of Existence.
So,
couldn't the methodological naturalist say, at this point, "Well then,
perhaps you are right. Perhaps life didn't evolve to become so complex, but perhaps it simply
naturally occurred as an expression of the pre-existing complexity at the
metaphysical base of Existence, right? If your designer didn't have to become complex, perhaps life didn't become complex either, but
just happened that way, just as you yourself claim
Existence just happened to have this extreme complexity eternally present in
it."
The other option is to stick with their initial
premise and admit that their designer had to have a designer too, by the same
argument that leads to the conclusion of a designer to begin with. But this
doesn't work for them because it requires an infinite
series of designers, each more complex than the previous one. That will hardly
suite their requirements of theism, however, so they have to reject it and
settle for the eternal-designer view.
So, eternal designer it is, even though this idea
is at least as bizarre as the initial claim that complexity requires design.
But, eternal or not, such a designer still needs an
explanation. If we can't explain how
it came to be complex, then we
need a deeper ontological explanation as to why it is
complex, even if it didn't get
complex from some simpler state.
Further, this is required by the implications of
their own premise that life is too complicated to have arisen by chance. That
is, to support this
premise, they need some sort of deeper basis. Empiricism certainly will not
help them in this case, because, empirically, we see that it is simply not
true. Simple things become more complex with no or little help all the time,
including many non-living things. If you order a deck of cards by color, by
suit, and by face value, you will have a relatively simple order to the deck of
cards. Now, if you shuffle it by merely unintelligently mixing the cards up (or
by letting animals or wind do it), you will have a much
more complexly "structured" deck of cards. Much more information will
be required to describe its exact order. I used just a couple of sentences
above, but for the shuffled deck I'd probably have to specify each card in sequence
in order to provide an equally complete specification of the sequence. Why?
Because it's so much more complex.
Obviously, if we have enough cards, we can produce
any degree of complexity imaginable by simply shuffling the cards. And yet,
this process of shuffling cards is one of the least intelligent processes we
can imagine. Indeed, that's one of the reasons we do it; to get rid of the "intelligent" ordering of the
cards that may remain from the last game, or from the way the cards were
packaged by the manufacturer.
Even Dembski is clever enough to realize that
complexity is not, by itself, an indicator of intelligence. Indeed, he uses the
example of an election official in New Jersey (Caputo) part of whose job it was
to select by random means who would appear first for some office on the
ballots: A Republican or a Democrat. Out of 41 times he supposedly did this, 40
were all the same (I don't remember if they were all Democrats or all
Republicans). Dembski then uses this simple
pattern as evidence of intelligence behind the choosing process, ruling out randomness and unintelligent processes.
Demski treats this very simple pattern as an
example of specified complexity,
which is a little strange, considering that it was a nearly-mechanical
repetition of a single option out of a total of only two initial options (it would have been more
"complex" in a way if there had been, say, fifty different
possibilities instead of only two).
But, when simplicity (the Caputo example) indicates
intelligent design and mere complexity (shuffled cards) indicates unintelligent
randomization, we have a problem that brings into question the whole idea that
we can argue from complexity to intelligence.
This is one reason why the standard arguments from
complexity fail. Dembski (and others), realizing this had to come up with
something better. Dembski came up with "specified" complexity, which
he defines in various sometimes contradicting ways, but which is a variation on
the idea of ordered
complexity, which in some ways is intermediate between absolute simplicity (the
same item repeated in exactly the same way many times) and absolute complexity
(complete randomization).
But, ultimately, even if we accept Dembski's notion
of specified complexity (according to whatever definition he eventually settles
on as the "real" one -- if any), the initial problem doesn't go away.
If living things have too much of this attribute to occur naturally, then so
does the designer, since, presumably, the designer would be something like the
ultimate in complexity and order, a kind of metaphysical version of the
Mandelbrot set, in which each point a mathematical plane is given a value
according to a simple formula iterated many times. The simple algorithm for
determining the values of the points on a plane produces what is, by any
*ordinary* measure of complexity, a very complex (infinitely complex, in fact)
structure that is also extremely ordered
(each point on the plain is rigidly determined by the simple formula in a
rigidly deterministic and simple way). But, despite the complexity, the
ordering of the values for each point according to a simple algorithmic method
(which, in its usual forms is "corrupted" a bit by the requirement
that an arbitrary terminating value be supplied so the calculation of the value
for each point can be guaranteed to stop after a finite amount of calculation),
there is an underlying
simplicity to it that none of the usual statistical methods for calculating
complexity would detect. And, it is no fluke; it is a member of a large class
of such instances of extremely
specified complexity (complexity far beyond that of the human mind).
Does this work? Does specified complexity, in any
form, save the arguments from complexity (by turning them into arguments from
"specified" complexity)?
No. They suffer the same difficulties as the
original argument except for the one that "specification" is designed
to obviate, which was that complexity alone could just be randomization.
True, Dembski "proves" that living things
have a special kind of ordered
complexity.
But, that is hardly news to anyone, and certainly
not to scientists. Indeed, explaining this complexity is part of why the theory
of evolution is such a successful theory. Complexity can give living things
more options, more different ways to respond to their environments and
therefore, assuming that the costs of the complexity are not too high, it can
give them an advantage over their otherwise identical but simpler
species-mates. But randomness
in an organism is generally harmful (though this is not true of all randomness
in living things), so the complexity has to have an order
to it that produces some sort of functional benefit to the organism.
So, does specified complexity require intelligent
design? No. It requires some sort of systematic
process for producing it, but it does not require intelligence design.
Systematic selection from a continually replenished "pool" of
candidates is enough, if the ones that are "selected" are able to
contribute more to the pool of candidates than those that the systematic
selection process culls out of the "pool."
However, let us suppose that it does require
intelligent design. Does it help? No, because the same considerations would
still apply to the designer it-/him-/her-/them- self(ves). If specified
complexity requires design, then the designer has to exemplify specified
complexity and so must also be
designed.
-- Unless we can somehow "explain"
specified complexity in the designer without resorting to another designer.
But, if that is possible, then what's to stop us from using the sane method to
explain the specified complexity of living organisms?
Here's where ID folks try
to make a relevant distinction between the eternal existence of a designer with
specified complexity and the origination of living organisms with specified
complexity.
They try, but fail. This marvelously ad hoc
differentiation is without justification. If, as they claim (but usually in
different terms), Existence is such as to have specified complexity at its very
ontological base, then on what grounds can they possibly deny that living
organisms might arise in such an Existence by processes that themselves are
merely expressions of this metaphysical specified complexity rather than as
products of intelligent design?
The answer is: They can't. Any attempt at giving
the eternal specified complexity of a designer a privileged status over the
metaphysically inherent specified complexity of Existence as such, in order to
provide a "creator" for living organisms is bound to fail, because it
is simply arbitrary. There is no rational basis for such a special exemption
from the premises they themselves have laid out.
Indeed, Dembski seems to have been aware of this
problem. At one point he argues that, even if his argument does not show that
living things are specifically designed but only that the universe itself
exhibits specified complexity and must therefore be designed, then it will have
served his purposes. But he didn't notice (or didn't admit to noticing, at
least) that this,
too would be applicable even to his designer, and that it would therefore mean
that his designer either had to be designed or was itself the
"product" of unintelligent "causes" (not in the sense of
efficient causes, if the designer is eternal, but very bizarre material causes,
at least).
Thus, Dembski must either opt for yet another designer to explain the specified complexity
of the designer of living things, or he must opt for the equally bizarre claim
that such fantastic specified complexity could always
have existed, without being caused at all in any ordinary sense.
But then, suppose we accept that such eternal specified
complexity is possible (and there is a sense in which it is -- though one not
helpful to Dembski or other creationist arguments). Then, can't we argue that
the specified complexity of living things
is simply an expression of this inherent specified complexity of the
metaphysical base of Existence?
If
specified complexity can be inherent in an eternally-existing being, why can't
the specified complexity of living things be inherent in the nature of the
universe itself, so that living things are merely one way in which this
specified complexity is expressed or exhibited?
I cannot see any good answer for the ID
("Intelligent Design") advocates at this point. They are faced with
either requiring (by their own premises) that their designer also have a
designer or, if they claim eternality of the designer's specified complexity,
they admit that not all specified complexity must have a designer, in which
case they can hardly argue consistently that living things must have had a
designer, particularly in a universe that clearly exemplifies specified
complexity in its physical nature quite aside from living organisms. They can't
really reject specified complexity, because they need that to distinguish their
designed things from mere randomness, and they can't really claim that there
can be eternally-existing beings with specified complexity without giving
specified complexity a metaphysical status in the nature of Existence and thus
granting, in effect this would allow for specific things (living organisms) to
come into existence from a basis of nothing more than the specified complexity
inherent in Existence itself, as expressed in the natural ordered complexity of
the universe.
I have argued that all instances of specified
complexity need some
kind of an explanation, even if it is not one in terms of efficient causation,
and that, therefore, it does no good to argue for an eternal being who
exemplifies specified complexity, because it would either require a
non-designer explanation.
True, it would not be an explanation in terms of
how it came to be, since that would assume that it did
come to be, which could not be true of an eternal being, but that it must have
an explanation in terms of such factors as material causes, in terms of factors
in the nature of the basic "stuff" of Existence that would make such
a being possible.
Neither ID nor conventional creationists have a
good answer at this point. That's only partly because they generally manage to
evade having this issue raised by various kinds of equivocations and conceptual
waffling and ever-shifting definitions modified on an as-needed basis to evade
having to deal with such problems (while leaving them cognitively unresolved,
of course, since such evasions are intended to obscure facts, not to bring them
into the light and clarify them).
Another reason they have no good answer at this
point is that there are no good answers for this problem except to give up the
stupid premises that led to it to begin with. Arbitrarily resorting to
"eternally existence" to evade the argument doesn't help because the
problems of eternally existing specified complexity are just as bad as (worse
than, actually) the problems of explaining the rise of specified complexity in
living things via natural processes.
The final reason they have no good answer is that
the evolutionist's answer is so much better. Specified complexity of living
things comes from the complexity of the environment to which living things must be adapted if they (or their genes) are to
continue to exist. If the environment of a simple replicator could be relied
upon to be and remain simple (or, at least, if the survival demands it made
could be relied on to remain simple), things living in it would not have to
evolve in any direction beyond what they already had, and any modifications
that would introduce more complexity would tend to be evolved out of them (as, indeed, it is to some extent in the cases of some parasites,
parasites that evolve away the complexities that their remote non-parasite
ancestors needed, but which, in their new lifestyle, they no longer need). I
cover the relationship between physics and information theory in another essay,
so I will not expand on it here.
But, I will add here one final point regarding a
claim of some theists that is so stunningly mindless as to temporarily render
one speechless. This is the idea that God, despite being omniscient and
omnipotent, is absolutely simple, not complex at all, in any way. This, if it
existed, would be a God free from specified complexity. But, it would also be a
God absolutely devoid of the complexities of a personal God, because it could
not have a mind, in any sense, a memory, since it could only store information
by introducing changes in something and thus either making it more complex, or
thoughts (which are more complex than a lack of thought), etc. It could not be
aware of anything, it could not do
anything (except in the way a rock can "do" something when it is
dropped on someone's head, etc.), and so on. And, it most certainly could not
design living organisms, since, by the claims of the ID folks themselves, the
designer must be of a "higher" level of complexity than the
complexity of what is designed (otherwise, complex living things could be "designed" by brute physical processes,
a conclusion their whole argument is designed to avoid).
I have not seen this remarkable claim made by any
ID folks, but I discuss it briefly here as a "pre-emptive response"
in case someone might think it could be a means of weaseling out of the disastrous
implications of ID's own premises while retaining at least the core of ID. It
is no such thing.
Summary:
Intelligent
design first asserts the requirement for an intelligent designer for things
that have "specified complexity," and then denies it for the
specified complexity of their own posited designer. They try to resolve this by
resorts to eternally existing specified complexity, but that requires at
least as much explanation as the specified complexity of an ordinary living
organism, explanation that they don't have.
If
they assert, as by implication they must, that the specified complexity of
their designer is inherent in the nature of Existence, then they face the
problem that this should mean that the designer itself is superfluous, since
the specified complexity of Existence could explain the origin of life by
evolutionary means without the need to resort to a designer (and, since,
obviously, it would be an instance of specified complexity that doesn't
require a designer). Since they do not allow that this can be the case, they
can offer no coherent theory of the nature and existence of their designer
because it either is an example of specified complexity that was not designed,
proving that such specified complexity can exist without being designed,
or it is not needed because the specified complexity of Existence as such
(without any inherent intelligence) would then provide an explanatory basis for
the evolution of life.
Feedback,
discussion, comments, questions: Chris Cogan, ccogan@ou.edu