Profiles suggesting support for strong or violent tornadoes


The combined strength of parameters in the following profile examples makes assessment fairly straightforward in suggesting support for strong or violent tornadoes.

Example 1a.
   This environment has good shear-CAPE combinations and strong vertical shear, with generally favorable low-level thermodynamic characteristics.

(RUC-2 analysis at Medicine Lodge, Kansas, 00 UTC 4/15/01, updated by 23 UTC surface ob at P28):   
typicalbuoytor1.gif (5683 bytes)
041401rd2328icta.gif (7384 bytes) ICT base refl. 2323 UTC 4/14/01

Observed:  Large F2 tornado in mainly open country

total ML CAPE  2410 J/kg    0-1 km SRH  151 m2/s2

  parameter value support for supercell tornadoes? why? comments
0-1k EHI    2.3 ok > 2.0  
BL-6k shear 68 kts strong > 45 kts  
LCL height 643 m strong < 1000 m  
        all parameters "strong" or "ok"
CIN 68 J/kg ok < 100 J/kg  
LFC height  2018 m marginal/ok near 2000 m  
0-3k CAPE  66 J/kg ok > 60 J/kg  

description and key for examples
operational low-level buoyancy thermodynamic guidelines

 

Example 1b.  This environment has good shear-CAPE combinations and vertical shear supported by strong low-level thermodynamic characteristics.

(RUC-2 analysis at Birmingham, Alabama, 18 UTC 11/24/01, updated by 19 UTC surface ob at BHM):
typicalbuoytor2.gif (5572 bytes)  112401rd1844bmxa.gif (17647 bytes) BMX base refl. 1844 UTC 11/24/01

Observed:  F2 and F4 tornadoes, 22 injuries

total ML CAPE  1485 J/kg    0-1 km SRH  271 m2/s2

  parameter value support for supercell tornadoes? why? comments
0-1k EHI    2.5 ok > 2.0  
BL-6k shear 40 kts ok > 38 kts  
LCL height 286 m strong < 1000 m, very low  
        all parameters "strong" or "ok"
CIN 5 J/kg strong < 50 J/kg  
LFC height  507 m strong < 1500, very low  
0-3k CAPE  138 J/kg strong > 90 J/kg  

description and key for examples
operational low-level thermodynamic parameter guidelines

 

Example 1c.  All parameters are strong in this environment, indicating strong support for significant tornadoes.

(RUC-2 analysis at Siren,Wisconsin, 00 UTC 6/19/01, updated by 01 UTC surface obs at RZN-RPD):
typicalbuoytor3.gif (5635 bytes)  061901rd0141dlha.gif (7956 bytes) DLH base refl. 0141 UTC 6/19/01

Observed:  Long track F3 tornado with 3 deaths

total ML CAPE  3430 J/kg    0-1 km SRH  168 m2/s2

  parameter value support for supercell tornadoes? why? comments
0-1k EHI    3.6 strong > 3.0  
BL-6k shear 66 kts strong > 45 kts  
LCL height 500 m strong < 1000 m  
        all parameters "strong"
CIN 26 J/kg strong < 50 J/kg  
LFC height  1071 m strong < 1500 m  
0-3k CAPE  112 J/kg strong > 90 J/kg  

description and key for examples
operational low-level thermodynamic parameter guidelines

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