Tornadic profile with shallow inversion near the ground

The following type of environment is not uncommon in the southern states during cool season severe weather episodes.

Example 2.   The shallow inversion in the bottom 50 mb with this example masks an environment capable of supporting significant tornadoes.  Using a surface parcel on the left, 0-3 km CAPE appears small and CIN quite large, suggesting an "elevated" environment with little or no support for tornadoes.  However, on the right, a lifted parcel from not far above the surface (about 400 m or 40-50 mb AGL) generates significant low-level CAPE and only small CIN from the same profile.  The inversion is shallow enough that this environment is not truly elevated.  Large SRH and vertical wind shear is present (wind profile not shown).

When the more unstable parcel is used, shear-CAPE combinations are strong with good vertical shear, and low-level thermodynamic parameters are strong as well, suggesting good support for significant tornadoes. 

(RUC-2 analysis at Jackson, Tennessee, 05 UTC 11/27/01, updated by 05 UTC surface ob at MKL):
shallowinversion.gif (4926 bytes)112701rd0528ohxa.gif (16512 bytes)
                                                                                                                                                             OHX base refl. 0528 UTC 11/27/01

Observed:   F3 tornado, 1 dead and 12 injured

total ML CAPE  1692 J/kg    0-1 km SRH  450 m2/s2

  parameter value support for supercell tornadoes? why? comments
0-1k EHI    4.8 strong > 3.0  
BL-6k shear 38 kts ok >= 38 kts  
LCL height 590 m strong < 1000 m  
        all parameters "strong" or "ok"
CIN 35 J/kg strong < 50 J/kg  
LFC height  1550 m ok/strong near 1500 m  
0-3k CAPE  94 J/kg strong > 90 J/kg  

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