Tuesday, August 31, 2004

The market says Bush to get boost from convention

The market says Bush to get boost from convention

Bush gets a lift in the markets
But Friday's unemployment report could deflate bump
By David Weidner, CBS.MarketWatch.com
Last Update: 4:00 PM ET Aug. 31, 2004
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NEW YORK (CBS.MW) - President Bush's stock is rising in the markets -- literally.



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Forward contracts tied to the outcome of the presidential election show that Bush is enjoying a convention boost, even in so-called swing states that could determine who the next president will be.

Prices for a contract that will pay $100 for a Bush victory are at $57, on the Dublin, Ireland Intrade Exchange. That's up from a range of $47 to $53 as recently as two weeks ago. Prices are generally believed to match percentages of support, not unlike a poll.

"If the market for George Bush rallies through the Republican Convention as expected and has been happening and we get a good employment number you'll see his number increase as well," said Michael Knesevitch, a spokesman and co-owner of the exchange.




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