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Overall
Thoughts:
I really love NBR. The main
reason I love it is because it is the first major precursor of the year
and it is the kickstart to Oscar season. And with that, the phrase
"Who the hell knows?" should be stated millions of times. We
have no idea what they will pick because we have no prior awards or
anything to play off of. We do know that Munich will be the last
thing they see. I don't think it will be enough to stop Brokeback
Moutain though. This group has NEVER shyed away from giving
homosexual-themed movies or movies with homosexual followings their big
award. I don't think this year will be any different. I am starting to
think though that their love for period pieces as well (last year they
gave it to Neverland and gave it to Quills and Sense
& Sensibility in the past) might lead them to give it to Pride
& Prejudice. Look out for Crash too. They are gonna eat it
up. I could see them giving it to Good Night as well. We know that
in the past the one that wins top film honors here goes on to be nominated
for BP (but not win). Another trend to notice with these is how often the
one who wins Actor will go on and not get nominated, save the past couple
of years. The one who wins Actress will be nominated, which is why I don't
think Joan Allen is winning. And usually always if someone wins Director
here, no Oscar love. Hence the prediction of Terrence Mallick. And I don't
know why, but I think Chris Columbus could win too for Rent. Don't
know why. So, without
further hesitation... My
Predictions:  Film:
Brokeback Mountain
Top Ten:
01.>
Brokeback Mountain
02.>
Munich
03.>
Pride & Prejudice
04.>
Crash
05.>
Good Night, And Good Luck
06.>
Memoirs of a Geisha
07.>
Walk The Line
08.>
Capote
09.>
Cinderella Man
10.>
A History Of Violence
 Actor:
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote
(alt: Jake Gyllenhaal, Jarhead, Brokeback Mountain, Proof)
Actress:
Judi Dench, Mrs. Henderson Presents
(alt: Charlize Theron, North Country)
Supporting Actor:
Paul Giamatti, Cinderella Man
(alt: Matt Dillon, Crash)
Supporting Actress:
Frances McDormand,
North Country
(alt: Shirley MacLaine,
In Her Shoes/Rumor Has It...)
Breakthrough Performance – Male:
Terrence Howard, Crash/Get Rich or Die Tryin’/Hustle & Flow
(alt: Cillian Murphy, Breakfast On Pluto)
 Breakthrough Performance – Female:
Keira Knightley,
Pride & Prejudice
(alt: Felicity Huffman, Transamerica)
Director:
Terrence Mallick,
The New World
(alt: David Cronenberg, A History Of Violence)
Breakthrough Director:
Joe Wright,
Pride & Prejudice
(alt: Paul Haggis, Crash)
Cast Ensemble:
Crash
(alt: Pride & Prejudice)
Adapted Screenplay:
Brokeback Mountain
(alt: Pride & Prejudice)
 Original Screenplay:
Crash
(alt: Good Night, And Good Luck)
Animated Feature:
Wallace & Grommit
(alt: Tim Burton's Corpse Bride)
Foreign Film:
Brothers
(alt: Paradise Now)
Documentary:
March of the Penguins
(alt: Grizzly Man)
Art Direction:
Memoirs of a Geisha
(alt: King Kong)
Music:
Pride & Prejudice
(alt: Memoirs Of A Geisha)
Career Achievement: Woody Allen or Shirley MacLaine
Special Achievement in Filmmaking: George Clooney, Good Night,
And Good Luck
 Excellence In Filmmaking:
The Constant Gardener
Hustle & Flow
Junebug
Match Point
Me And You And Everyone We Know
Mrs. Henderson Presents
A New World
North Country
The Producers
The Squid & The Whale
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