Our
Risk-Controlled Approach
Schultz Financial Management has an investment philosophy centered
around a single belief - that the key to consistent, long-term success is
achieving an optimal balance between enhancing return and managing
risk.
We have developed a unique systematic and
disciplined approach to managing risk-controlled investment portfolios for our clients.
We seek
to earn attractive
investment returns while managing portfolio risk through a combination
of diversification and trend following techniques as described below.
.
1. Diversification by Asset
Class
First, and foremost, we help our client's determine what type of
investments to own and what percentage to allocate to each. This is often referred to as
asset allocation. The types of investments or asset classes
that we use include cash equivalents, bonds, real estate, and stock.
Historically, each of these
asset classes have had low correlation with the others.
The effectiveness of this type of asset diversification in reducing
overall investment risk is illustrated below for the "bear market"
period in stocks from 2000-2002.
Total
Returns Using 4 Asset Classes
Asset
Class |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
| 10% Cash |
6.3% |
6.4% |
4.5% |
4.2% |
3.5% |
| 40% Bonds |
11.6% |
8.4% |
10.2% |
4.1% |
4.3% |
| 10% REITs |
31.0% |
12.3% |
3.6% |
36.7% |
32.1% |
| 40% Stocks |
-9.1% |
-11.9% |
-22.2% |
28.7% |
10.7% |
| Avg Return |
-4.7% |
0.5% |
-4.0% |
17.2% |
9.6% |
Data Source:
Cash Equivalents: Ryan
Labs 3-Year GIC Index
Bonds: Lehman
Aggregate Bond Index
Real Estate Inv. Trusts: Wilshire
REIT Index
Stocks: S&P
500 Index
2. "Core" High
Quality Investments
During periods of economic or political
uncertainty, the stock and/or bond markets may come under extreme pressure
causing a "flight to
quality" among investors. When this occurs, high quality bonds
and large "blue chip" stocks will perform better than less
favored lower quality issues.
For this reason, we believe that only high quality assets should be
assigned a "core" long term position in an investment portfolio.
"Core" Allocation

Core Stocks: Typically our core allocation is invested in
a basket of leading Large Growth stocks
and / or dividend paying Large Value
stocks. As part of a core position, it is our intention that these
baskets will remain fully invested in stocks throughout a normal business
cycle. As an active manager, we monitor and replace stocks as appropriate in order to reduce
risk and enhance return.
Core Bonds: Rather than buying
bond mutual funds that can result in a loss of principal, we prefer to buy high rated
individual bonds. If interest rates rise, we can hold these bonds
until they mature to ensure a full return of
principal and interest. The individual bonds in our High
Quality Bond strategy are selected based upon the type of account, tax bracket, and income needs of the
client. The Trust Deed Fund
which invests in real estate backed mortgages may also be held as a core position.
3. "Trend Following" Investments
The "trend following" portion in our
managed portfolios is designed to quickly adapt to current market trends
in order to capitalize on shorter term opportunities. Most important however, is our ability to preserve capital by switching to cash
during market downturns.
For both stocks and bonds, we use
proprietary trend following "market-timing" indicators that we
monitor on a daily basis.
"Trend Following" Allocation

Market Timed Stocks: This
consists of multiple market-timing strategies. Each
strategy uses a trend following approach to participate in stocks that are
experiencing strong upward momentum, but employs a hedging strategy and /
or switches to a cash position during market declines.
The Timed Stock Fund strategy
in normally invested in 3
exchange traded funds ("ETFs") from a candidate list of style
and sector funds that
include large growth, large value, mid-cap growth, mid-cap value,
small-cap growth, small-cap growth, real estate, consumer staples, gold
bullion, Japan, Europe, Latin America, and Pacific (excl Japan).
During market down trends, this strategy will be invested in a money
market fund.
The Timed Large Growth Stock strategy
is invested in individual large cap
growth stocks that are experiencing strong earnings growth and price
appreciation. While diversified, this strategy will tend to be over
weighted in stronger performing sectors and industry groups. During
market down trends, stock exposure is reduced and a hedging instrument is
used to protect against further stock market declines.
In a similar manner, the Timed Mid-Cap Growth Stock strategy
is invested in
individual mid cap stocks.
Market Timed Bonds: Our Timed
Bond Fund strategy is normally invested in a corporate high yield bond fund.
During down trends in high yield bond funds, the strategy may invest in
either a high quality bond fund
or a money market fund.
4. Hybrid Strategies that
Reduce Risk
Hybrid strategies can add
diversification to your portfolio and reduce risk. For conservative investors, we may recommend these strategies as less risky
alternatives to ownership of stocks or traditional stock mutual
funds. Of the many hybrid strategies available, we use strategies that have
historically realized long-term returns comparable to stock market
averages but with much less risk.
The Long / Short Strategy is
invested in a diversified group of stocks and short the stock market
average. The objective of this strategy is to provide a conservative
way to invest in stocks that can make money when the overall stock market
is going up or down.
The Covered Call Fund implements a strategy of owning stocks and hedging the
downside risk in those stocks by selling stock options for additional
income. However, as stocks increase in
value, gains in the stocks may be partially reduced as a
result of losses that occur from selling options.
The Convertible Fund owns
convertible bonds and convertible preferred stocks. These
convertible securities may be converted to common stock of the issuing
company at a predetermined price. This type of fund has upside
appreciation potential similar to common stocks, but because of the
attractive dividend income generated from these convertible securities,
the downside risk is significantly reduced.
The Convertible Arbitrage Fund owns
convertible bonds of publicly traded companies and shorts the underlying
stock. This fund is expected to do perform well in both up and down
markets.
For wealthy investors we utilize an Asset
Backed Financing Fund that is a "fund of funds" hedge
fund that provides attractive total returns in a rising interest rate
environment.