BASEBALL ANALYST

Issue 3 data from Charles Pavitt's index, courtesy of Pete Palmer.
Thanks to Cliff Blau, Bill Deane, Dan Heisman
Special thanks to Barry Mednick who donated issues 8-13 to the cause.

Issue 1-June 1982

Introduction: by Bill James 1
Ballpark Effects on the Production of Infield Errors and Double Plays: by Paul W. Schwarzenbart, pp 2-7; Using data from the NL from 1972,3,6,8,9, and 80, presents home/road rates and ratios for infield and outfield errors and double plays and analysis of the results
The Distribution of Runs Scored: by Dallas Adams 8-10; Using data from 1967-76 from both leagues, presents % of games teams score a given number of runs from 0 to 19+. Teams are lumped into 11 groups based on average runs per game. A graph presents the same data as the table. 2 formulas are given to predict the distribution of runs for any team given its average scoring rate. One is for 5 or fewer runs in a game, the other for 6 or more.
Nolan Ryan's Fifth No-Hitter: by Tom Jones 11
Account form box score of the 9/26/81 game
Wins and Losses For All Players: by Mark D. Pankin 12-14
Describes a method of assigning wins and losses to pitchers and hitters. No statistics or actual examples given. Wins are given only to players on winning team and vice versa.
Home Runs - A Matter of Attitude: by Robert Kingsley 15-20
Examines the reasons more home runs are hit at some parks than others, using Atlanta Fulton County Stadium and Busch Stadium for illustrative purposes. Concludes 3 main factors are physical dimensions, climate, and hitter attiude. Statistics given for home and road homers for and against Braves and Cardinals for 1976, 7, and 8.

Issue 2-August 1982

Introduction: by Bill James 1-2
Some Patterns of Age and Skill: by Dallas Adams 3-9
Data presented for all non-pitchers who finished their careers between 1901 and 1968. Gives data for each age from 16 to 46:total games, % of games, number of players, games per player, number of players playing 95 or more games, and % playing 95 or more games. Next table gives same data for Hall of Famers included in table 1. Table 3 gives same data for catchers included in table 1. Much of these data are presented in graph form, too.
Ballpark Effects on Fielding Performance:Further Evidence: by Craig Wright 10-12
Uses NL data from 1976-80 to compare double play rates on grass versus artificial turf. Speculates that ground balls are more prevelent on grass fields and thus the effect on fielding average is slightly less than the effect on errors.
Run Production by Batting Order Position: by Dick O'Brien 13-14
For 1981, presents RBI's by batting order position and % of RBI's by batting order position. Also same info given for pinchhitters and other subs. Compares actual RBI performance for a select group of number 3 and 4 hitters to their expected RBI's. Detailed comments on Steve Garvey and Dave Winfield.
Clutch Hitting: by Dick O'Brien 15-16
Gives average runs per HR for each batting order position and compares % for each to cleanup slot. Based on players with at least 100 HR up to 1974. Gives runs per HR for about 3 dozen sluggers.
In Search of the "True" Slugging Percentage: by Jim Morrow. 17-19
Presents formula for runs produced based on average number of runs scored and driven in per each type of hit as well as walks. Its correlation with actual runs is slightly less than slugging averaage's.
The Effects of Overwork on Young Pitchers: by Dallas Adams 20
Concludes that overworking rookie pitchers significantly shortens their careers. Presents table innings pitched in each of first four years for 3 groups based on number of games pitched as rookie.

Issue 3-October 1982

More on the "True" Slugging Percentage: by Jim Reuter 2-6
Batting Average Comparisons: by Ward Larkin 7-13
Comment on "Effects of Overwork of Rookie Pitchers": by Ward Larkin 11
Effects of Overwork on Rookie Pitchers, Part II: by Dick O'Brien 14-15
Player Development Study: by Craig Wright 16-19
Comment on Larkin, "Batting Average Comparisons": by Bill James 20

Issue 4-December 1982

Introduction: by Bill James 2-3
Measuring Relief Performance: by John Billheimer 4-12
Evaluates relief pitchers in 1981 according to Prorated ERA (PERA) which charges relievers for a share of inherited runners they allow to score, and Slips (similar to blown saves.) Gives stats for teams and individuals.
Some Additional Aspects of the Distribution of Runs Scored: by Dallas Adams 13-16
Updates article from Issue 1 with data from 1977-81. Also discusses probability of scoring a given number of runs in an inning or per out.
Commentary on prior article: by Bill James 17
Compares actual # of times Yankees and A's scored a given # of runs in an inning to theoretical results using Adams' formulas.
A New Look at "Hard Luck" Pitchers: by Mark Lazarus 18-22
Gives team errors behind starting pitchers for 1982. Also breaks down overall errors by position and for left/right handed pitchers.
Thoughts on Isolated Power: by Jim Reuter 23-24
Introduces Adjusted Isolated Power (AIP) which equals slugging average minus batting average divided by (1 minus batting average.) Also equal to extra bases per out. Gives top 20 career leaders and top 10 for first 4 20 year periods of this century.

Issue 5 -- February, 1983

Introduction: by Bill James 2
Philosophies of publication and plea for material.
Affect of Batting and Pitching Changes on Team Change In Won-Lost Record: by Dick O'Brien 3-5
Examination of 1969-82 teams which improved or declined by at least five games from one year to the next. Were they effects of improvements/declines in hitting, pitching, or both? Are the results different when separated by teams in hitters or pitchers parks?
Home Park Factors: by Jim Reuter 6
General formula to adjust a players statistics based on his home park.
Balls and Strikes: by Pete Palmer 7-8
Examination of pitch-by-pitch data from 1974-77 post-season series. What is the effect of the ball-strike count on a batters batting, on-base, and slugging averages? How can this data be used to evaluate strategies such as pitch-outs, sacrifices, or swinging at 3-0 pitches?
Some Further Aspects of the Distribution of Runs Scored: by Dallas Adams 9-20
Continuation of an article in the previous issue. Examines the probabilities of teams scoring and/or winning based on score, inning, and number of outs. Includes many equations, tables, and graphs.

Issue 6 -- April, 1983

Ballpark Effects on Fielding Statistics -- American League Parks: by Paul W. Schwarzenbart 2-5
Follow-up to article in issue #1. Uses various data between 1972-80 to examine the effect of different AL parks on errors (by both infielders and outfielders) and double plays. Key point of discussion is the effect of grass vs. turf fields.
Quality Versus Quantity: by Dan Heisman 6-9
What is the effect of quantity (i.e., career value) vs. quality (peak value) in Hall of Fame voting? In actual value to a players team? Includes examination of the best five years of 31 past and present stars. Editors comment on p.20.
Team Won/Lost Percentage as a Function of Runs and Opponents Runs: by Dallas Adams 10-12
Follow-up to articles in previous issues. Uses 1967-76 game scores to determine teams probability of winning based on number of runs scored and allowed. Includes tables and equations.
Adjusted Home Park Factor: by Pete Palmer 13-16
Computation of home park effect, with commentary on Reuters article in previous issue. Includes table showing home/road data in runs and home runs for 1977-82. Editors comment on p. 20.
Evaluating Pitchers Performances: by Cuthbert Magnolia 17-19
Tongue-in-cheek article with serious formulas for rating starters and relievers, by comparing them with pitchers in their league and on their team.

Issue 7 -- August, 1983

New Editors Notes: by Jim Baker 2
Introduction from publications new editor, and plea for material.
Letter: by Mrs. B. Kwandrie 3, 8
Letter to the editor, apparently fictitious and created to encourage real letters to the editor.
Run Production By Batting Order Position -- Part II: by Dick O'Brien 4
Follow-up to article in August 1982 issue. Examination of 1978-82 boxscores to reveal individual runs scored and RBI by position in the batting order.
On the Probability of Hitting .400: by Dallas Adams 5-7
Examination of the probability of an individual batting .400 for a season, based on the league batting average. Includes graphs.
A Trend Analysis of Batting Averages: by Gary T. Brown 8-17
Examines league batting averages over the years, illustrated by graphs. Offers explanations for changes over the years, and projections for the future.
The Chalmers Award Born Anew! 13: Announcement of a mythical MVP-type award sponsored by the publication, and voted on by the readers.
Assigning Relative Values To Relief Wins, Losses and Saves: by John Schwartz 18
Offers an alternative method of rating relievers weighting wins, losses, and saves based on the frequency of each.
Distribution of Runs: by Pete Palmer 19-20
Analyzes the distribution of runs, citing many previous studies on this subject. Examines 1980-82 AL data in testing formulae, and illustrates the effect random chance can have on statistics.

Issue 8-October 1983

Satirical "tabloid" style story about 1983 World Series (Editor's Note): by Jim Baker 2
Letter from Dallas Adams 4: discussing distribution of runs scored and team scoring efficiency
Introducing Project Scoresheet: by Bill James 5-6
Proposes the organization which collected play-by-play data for all games for several seasons.
Scoring Sequences: by Barry L. Mednick 7-8
Based on 3 weeks worth of games by the Giants and A's. Gives % of time a given offensive event was associated with a run.
On Handedness and Pitchers' Fielding: by Warren Johnson 9-14
Gives range factors for 1982 ERA title qualifiers and discusses the reasons for differences between leagues and right/lefties. Range factor used here is changes accepted per batted ball out.
Pitchers' Range Factors: by Clem Comly 15
Gives leaders and trailers for 1982 and period 1974-82. Range factor used here is chances accepted per 27 batted ball outs.
Power Hitters Strikeout/Home Run Ratios: by Dick O'Brien 16-17
For the period 1920-82 and 1970-82, for all players driving in at least 100 runs in a season, groups hitters by strikeout/hr ratio. Gives percentage of total for each of 6 groups. For the latter period, gives k/hr ratio for two other groups-those with at least 20 HRs but fewer than 100 RBIs and those with at least 20 HRs but fewer than 70 RBIs. These two groups had higher ratios than the first group.
On Foul Balls: by David Aceto 18-19
Discusses the theoretical effect on batting averages of foul outs. No actual data given.
The Left Handed Hitter's Advantage: by John Schwartz 19
Gives the distance between home and the other bases that must be run by left and right handed hitters. Lefties have a 5% advantage running to first.
Humorous review of fictional film about Max Patkin: by John Borkowski and Jim Baker 20

Issue 9-December 1983

Editor's Note: by Jim Baker 2
Hidden Game of Baseball;Review
The Best Fielding Second Baseman Since 1925: by Dan Finkle 4-8,19
Mazeroski,Bill;Schoendienst,Red;Doerr,Bobby;Gordon, Joe;Trillo,Manny;Critz,Hugh;Gehringer,Charlie;Melillo,Oscar Fielding; Second Baseman;Fielding Index;Double Plays;Errors
The Worst: by Joe Ferrere 9
Gochnaur, John
Functions for Predicting Winning Percentage from Runs: by Charles Hofacker 10-16
Won-Lost Record;Run Production;Pythagorean Projection
Assists versus Strikeouts: by Barry Mednick 17
Assists;Strikeouts;Range Factor
An Analysis of Win Percentage: by Bill Deane 18-19
Carlton, Steve;Guidry, Ron Won-Lost Record;Wins Above Team;Pitcher Performance Percentage

Issue 10-February 1984

Old Baseball Pie: by Mike Ross 2-3
Recipes;Humor
A Critique of "The Best Fielding Secondbasemen since 1925": by Dick O'Brien 4-5
Fielding; Second Baseman;Double Play
The Contenders During the Pressure Month - September: by Jack Carlson 6-11
1983;Pennant Race
Minors 1983:Pitcher's or Hitter's Leagues: by Larry Smith 12
1983;Minor Leagues
A Comparison of Baltimore's September Pennant Drive With Their Performance During the Rest of the Season: by Barry Mednick 13-14,17
1983;Pennant Race;Baltimore Orioles
The Difference Between Night and Day: by Paul Schwarzenbart 15-17
Day/Night
Commentary on Schwarzenbart's "Night and Day": by Bill James 18
Day/Night
A National League Rating System: by Joe Levy 19-20
Ratings;Evaluations

Issue 11-April 1984

Mays vs. Aaron: A New Look: by Bill Deane 4-6
Statistics: "Production"; "Star"; "SuperStar"; Home/Road HR comparison Topics: Comparing Aaron and Mays career stats in many categories
The Best Fielding Third Basemen Since 1925: by Dan Finkle 7-9;20
Consecutive years of selection; Range, DP; Fly Ball, and Misplay Index; Overall Index Named Person(s): Buddy Bell, Mike Schmidt, Brooks Robinson, Ron Santo, Eddie Mathews, Sal Bando, Clete Boyer, Rodriguez, Ken Keltner, Kamm, Whitney; Harland Clift, Graig Nettles Comparing modern 3rd baseman on a variety of fielding stats
Statistical Procedures for Baseball Research I: Correlation and Simple Regression: by Charles Pavitt and Elaine M. Gilby 10-15
Correlation Computations for Pitchers Named Person(s): Steve Carlton, Bob Knepper, Phil Niekro, Rick Rhoden, Steve Rogers, Dick Ruthven, Tom Seaver, Mario Soto, Bob Walk, Bob Welch Using correlation and linear regression to find the relationship between baseball stats
Minor League Effects on Major League Pitching Performances: byTerry Bohn 16-17
Table of Poor, Average, and Star Pitchers with Below AAA and "AAA" stats compared Looking for patters as to whether minor league success for pitchersindicated success at the major league level
On the Importance of Getting the Leadoff Batter on Base: by Chuck Waseleski 18-19
Red Sox and Opponents 1983 Runs Scored (Number and Frequency) vs. Whether batter reached first; Runs in a game vs. number of innings the leader batter got; Base Reached by Leadoff Batter vs. Number of Runs Scored. Looking at how teams performed in runs scored vs. how the leadoff batter performed

Issue 12-June 1984

The Metrodome and Homeruns: by Terry Bohn 4
Metrodome; Home Runs;Park Factor
Is Artificial Turf More Offensive?: by Robert S. Smith 5-10
Artificial Turf;Park Factor
The Pythagorean Theorem and Twenty-Two Recent Managers: by David F. Hoppes 11-13
Weaver, Earl;Lasorda, Tommy;McNamara,John Managers;Pythagorean Projection
Four-Decade Candidates for 1990: by Daniel Greenia 13
Four-Decade Players;Longevity
When Games End and What That Tells Us: by Clem Comly 14-17
Simulations;Line Up;Pinch-Hitting;Run Production
Criteria for Hall of Fame Selection: by Dan Rappoport 18-20
Hall of Fame;Runs Batted In

Issue 13-August 1984

Letter-comment on "Statistical Procedures for Baseball Research I: Correlation and Simple Regression": by Dan Rappoport 4-5
Letter: by Charles Pavitt 5
Double Plays
Dan Greenia's Freak Show:Stealing Contribution: by Dan Greenia 5
Stolen Bases
Some Comments on the Benefit of Getting the Leadoff Batter on Base: by Charles Hofacker 6,16
Leadoff; Run Production
_The Natural_: Strictly Artificial: by Chris Martens 7
Review;_The Natural_
Joe D And The Halo Effect: by Bill Deane 8-9
DiMaggio, Joe
The Righetti Decision - A Historical Perspective: by Art Springsteen 10-16
Righetti, Dave Relief Pitcher
One Adjustment to the Range Factor: by Tim Marcou 17-19
Range Factor

Issue 14-October 1984

Base on Balls Abstract, Part I: by Craig Wright 4-9
Table of Dodger stats for the three years they scored more than 100 runs more than any other team in the league ('49; '50; '53); Table of league offensive stats broken down by top, middle and lowest players in unintentional BB. Plate Appearance Distribution for Bases Empty (not-leading off), Leading Off an Inning, Runners in Scoring Position, and Men on First Only vs. Hi/Med/Lo BB men for 1983. Several other tables with similar distribution information showing value of the BB, affect of BB ability to do "what is most valuable in a situation"; clutch-situation ability, comparing individual players in Late-Inning Pressure situations, etc. Table of "Situational Stats for '83 AL players with 400+ PA separated into non-intentional BB average into three equal groups" Research of Walk Values (de-bunking myths about BB, etc.)
Unforgettable Dizziness: by Mike Kopf 10-11,17
Review of G.H. Fleming's book, The Dizziest Season (about 1934 NL St. Louis)
Batter's Offensive Wins and Losses: by Neil Munro 12-17
Runs Created Formulas; 1920 AL Leaders in Offensive Wins; 1993 NL and AL Leaders in Offensive Wins Above .500; Career Leaders in Offensive Wins Minus Offensive Losses; Season Leaders in Offensive Wins Minus Offensive Losses. Using Runs Created to convert to Offensive Winning Percentage; Calculating the Number of Outs in a Game. Notes: Some nice OW% info, including historical; discussion of outs.
Distribution for Players' Offensive Performance Statistics: by Charles Hofacker 18-20
Formula for performance deviating from League Mean; Figures: Frequency Polygon for HR/AB, frequency of players with a certain percentage of HR, Frequency Polygon for H/AB, frequency of players with a certain BA, Frequency Polygon for 1B/AB, frequency of players with a certain percentage of 1B/AB. (Based on 1982 season? - not clear) Named Person(s): Ward Larkin (10/82 Baseball Analyst) Topics: Determining the relative frequency of certain events (and what is the curve - normal, etc.?) Notes: mostly mathematical; comparing large amounts of data with theoretical curves.

Issue 15-December 1984

Base on Balls Abstract, Part II: by Craig Wright 4-18
Walks in Career Context
4A) 24 Individual Tables of (Walk Ave/League Walk Ave) by Age
4B) Summary Charts for groups of 10 (Lo, Med, Hi) of (Walk Ave/League Walk Ave)
by Age
4C) Tables with 1982 and 1983 offensive stats (AB, H, BA, etc.) for sets of
players with different walk frequencies
4D) Table comparing two similar players who came up at age 20 but one walked
more, and how they did in their 1st 3 seasons
4E) 8 Tables of (Walk Ave/League Walk Ave) by Age, 4 each for careers with
rising BB% and steady BB%
4F) Summary Charts for the 2 sets of 4 each given in 4E for (Walk Ave/League
Walk Ave) by Age, and for (HRC%/ HRC% of league)
4G)Table of Pete Rose's performance in years when he walked frequently vs. other
years
4H) Table of Ernie Whitt's performance in years when he walked frequently vs.
other years
Largest Metropolitan Areas with No Local Major League Baseball: y Daniel Greenia 10
Table of Metropolitan population of largest areas without ML Teams (shows teams within 50 miles); also lists 4 smallest areas with teams. Large Markets without Teams; Small Markets with Teams
Hall of Fame Candidates: by Daniel Greenia 18
Top 3 in HR, RBI, BA, R, H, SL%, G, TB, BB who are not in the HoF, though eligible. Highest ranking players in offensive categories who are not in the HoF but eligible\
Some Further Aspects of the Distribution of Runs: by Dallas Adams 19-20
Equation 16 = Home Team's Probability of Losing when the game enters extra
innings
Equation 17 = Home team's probability of losing when it enters the bottom of an
extra inning trailing by "I" runs or tied
8. Topics: Probabilities of a team winning (or losing) in extra innings
(follow-up on Feb 83 Baseball Analyst paper by Adams)

Issue 16-February 1985

Base on Balls Abstract, Part III: by Craig Wright 4-10
Table of Burt Shotton's effect on his clubs' SB, BB, p%; HR. Learning to Walk (Manager's effect on clubs propensity to take BB)
Percentage Baseball Reconsidered: Model and Method: by Charles Pavitt 11-16
Tables of Offensive States (e.g. Runners on base vs. outs; Markovian matrix of which states can turn into which other states: "First Order Transition Matrix for On-Base Out/Situations" Playing the Percentages, Probablilities of Scoring Runs, Multi-Order Finite State Transition Model
Meteors: by Daniel Greenia 16
Table of players who have hit over 25% of their career HR in one 30+ HR season
BA Comparison of Two Consistent Teams: by Jack Carlson 17-20
Comparing 1984 Detroit Tigers and 1984 Pittsburgh Pirates Won-Loss vs. Runs Scored, Won-Loss by Run Differential, and Scoring by Inning

Issue 17-April 1985

The 1985 Elias Baseball Analyst: by Jim Baker 2
Elias Baseball Analyst;Review
Technique of Run Estimation by Game-Line Assembly: by Bill James 4-9
Run Production
Notes on the Stolen Base: 1984 Ranger Games: by Craig Wright 10-14
Stolen Base; Texas Rangers;1984;Run Value
The All-Time Most Valuable Players: by Neil Munro 15-19
Musial,Stan;Williams,Ted;Ford,Whitey Most Valuable Player;Selection Process
Letter: by Dan Rappoport 20
1984;Pittsburgh Pirates

Issue 18-June 1985

Comparing Statistics From Different Eras: by Alden Mead 4-9
Era Comparison;Batting Average;Relative Batting Averag
Pitcher Burnout(?): by Daniel Greenia 9
Martin, Billy;Fowler, Art Pitchers;Complete Game
Some Additional Comments on The Benefit of Getting the Leadoff Batter On Base: by Dallas Adams 10-12
Leadoff;Run Production
Quantity vs Quality: A Look at Linear Weights Per Game: by Dan Heisman 13
Linear Weights
Divergence of Won-Loss Records: by Scott Segrin 14-18
Won-Lost Record;Relief Pitching;Scoring
New Worlds to Conquer: by Mike Kopf 19-20
Dollar Sign on the Muscle;Scouting;Review
A Note to Fellow Sabermetricians: by Scott Segrin 20
Elias Baseball Analyst;Review

Issue 19-August 1985

Some Comments on the June Issue: by Craig Wright 4-5
Martin, Billy;Fowler, Art Pitchers;Complete Game;Era Comparison;Batting Average;Elias Baseball Analyst
Comment on All-Time MVP: by Dan Rappoport 5-6
Most Valuable Player;Selection Process
A Report on the Accuracy of the Brock4 Career Projection Method: by Dallas Adams 7-13
Career Projection; Brock4
A Note About "Percentage Baseball Reconsidered": by Mark D. Pankin 14-15
Percentage Baseball;Markov Chain
Six Phases of a Baseball research Project: by Dan Rappoport 15
Humor
An Attempt at Determining Runs Batted In Efficiency: by Terry Bohn 16-17
Run Batted In;Run Production
Quantity vs Quality: A Look at Linear Weights Per Game: by Dan Heisman 18-19
Linear Weights

Issue 20-October 1985

Freak Show: Strikeouts/Home Run: Good & Bad: by Daniel Greenia 6
Strikeout;Home Run
Ground Ball Pitchers on Artificial Turf: by Craig Wright 7-11
Artificial Turf; Ground Ball Pitcher
Another Look At Ground Ball Pitchers on Artificial Turf: by Craig Wright 12-20
James, Bill Artificial Turf; Ground Ball Pitcher;Research Methodology

Issue 21-December 1985

Casey Studied Further: by Jim Baker 2
Casey At The Bat;Humor
Freak Show:Won-Lost % of Expansion Teams: by Daniel Greenia 4
Expansion Teams;Won-Lost Record
A Response to Mark Pankin'a "A Note About 'Percentage BB Reconsidered'": by Charles Pavitt 5
Percentage Baseball;Markov Chain
Changes in Productivity as Players Age: by Bill James 6-13
Aging
Additional Fielding Statistics from Play-by-play Data: by Clem Comly 14-17
Fielding;Project Scoresheet
Armchair at the Bedside: by Mike Kopf 18-20
Review;Armchair Book of Baseball

Issue 22-February 1986

Synchronicity and the Double Play: by Dick O'Brien 4,20
Double Play
Observations on the Stolen Base: by Craig Wright 5-9
Stealing;Pickoffs;Pitcher Handedness
Peripheral and Identifying Characteristics of Ground-Ball and Fly-Ball Type Pitchers: by Bill James 10-16
Ground Ball Pitcher; Fly Ball Pitcher
Run Estimation by Game-Line Assembly: by Mark D. Pankin 17-20
Run Production;Simulations

Issue 23-April 1986

Some Reflections on the "Iorgy of Recrimination": by Mike Kopf 4-8
Howser, Dick;Sundberg, Jim;Iorg, Dane 1026985g;World Series
The Baseball Batting Sequence Problem: by Jess Boronico 9-17
Line up;Run Production

Issue 24-June 1986

Run Production and Run Prevention Correlated to Wins: by David F. Hoppes 4-6
Won-Lost Record; Run Production
Bias in Infielding evaluation 1: Pitching Handedness: by Charles Pavitt 7-11
Fielding;Pitcher Handedness;Total Chances
The Size and Nature of The Platoon Differential: by Tom Hanrahan 12-16
Platoon Differential
Ball Park Elevation and Humidity as Factors in Home Run Production: by Dick O'Brien 17-18
Home Runs;Park Factor;Weather;Elevation;Minor Leagues
Reaction To Dick O'Brien's Article: by Bill James 19-20
Home Runs;Park Factor;Weather;Elevation;Psychology;Minor Leagues

Issue 25-August 1986

Computers and the Ballgame: by Tony Formo 2-5
Computer
Why Right-Handed Hitters are Better High-ball Hitters and Left-Handed Batters are Better Low-ball Hitters: by Dick O'Brien 6-7
Platoon;High Ball Hitter; Low Ball Hitter;Hitting
Some Random Thoughts on Baseball and Ballplayers: by Mike Kopf 8-10
Gossage, Goose;Kroc, Joan Comiskey Park;Owners;Books;Humor
How Long Do Players Spend in the Minor Leagues?: by Bill James 11
Minor Leagues
Some Thoughts on Project Scoresheet: by Tony Formo 12-14
Project Scoresheet

Issue 26-October 1986

Cloudland Revisted: by Dick O'Brien 2-5
Strikeouts; Run batted in
Batting Leadoff For St.Louis: George Foster: by Timothy Morway 6-7
Coleman, Vince Leadoff;Line Up
Percentage Baseball Reconsidered: 2. Preliminary 1984 Findings: by Charles Pavitt 8-19
Baseball;Markov Chains;Project Scoresheet;Run Production

Issue 27-February 1987

Tip O'Neill: Estimating His 1887 RBIs: by Dallas Adams 2-3
O'Neill, Tip Run Batted In;Linear Weights
A Look at 'Turf' Teams and 'Turf' Players:1983-1986: by Sandy Sillman 4-7
Turf;Park Factor
The Implications of Leadership Research on Baseball: 1. Past Research: by Charles Pavitt 8-11
Managers;Managerial Change;Management
Some Relief Pitching Statistics from 1986: by Philip Meneely 12-20
Relief Pitching;1986;Pitching Staffs;Inherited Runner;Holds;Saves

Issue 28-March 1987

Scoring From First on a Double or Second on a Single: by Dallas Adams 8-10
Base Running;Run Production
Why Making Double Plays is an Important part of fielding Skill: by Dan Finkle 10-13
Double Play;Fielding;Fielding Index
Suggestions for Areas of Research: by Bill James 2-7
Mattingly,Don; Aging;Hall of Fame;Iron Man;Minor League Leaders;Race
Looking at the 1987 Rookie Crop: by Bill James 18-26
1987;Rookies;Major League Equivalencies
Hall of Fame and a New Historical Ranking of the All-Time Greats: by Robert K. McCleery and Robert O. Wood 14-17
Hall of Fame;Ranking

Issue 29-April 1987

What Type Team Spells R-E-L-I-E-F Best: by Russ Eagle 2-5
Relief Pitching;Saves
A New Framework for Assessing Individual Offensive Performance: by David Smyth 6-8
Run Production
The Further Adventures of Clutch Hitting: by Dick O'Brien 9-11
Clutch Hitter
The Effect of Relief Pitchers on Aggregate Batting Averages: by Robert E. Shipley 12-20
Relief Pitching

Issue 30-June 1987

On the Innaccuracy of the Pythagorean Equation at Extreme Scoring Ratios: by Dallas Adams 17-18
Pythagorean Projection;Offensive Winning Percentages
Some Comments on Charles Pavitt's "Bias in Fielding Evaluation 1:Pitcher Handedness": by Dallas Adams 11
Fielding;Pitcher Handedness;Pitcher Fielding
Strrikeout-to-Walk Ratios and Winning Records: by Russ Eagle 19-20
Strikeout-to-Walk Ratio
All-Time Greats Consensus: by Daniel Greenia 12
Ranking
Implications of Leadership Research on Baseball 2:Current Theory: by Charles Pavitt 13-16
Manager;Leadership
Improving the Runs Created Formula: by David H. Robinson 2-6
James,Bill;Johnson,Paul; Runs Created
Miracle Teams and Long Shots:What are the Odds?: by Sandy Sillman 7-10
Miracle Teams;Odds

Issue 31-August 1987

Similarity Scores Among the All-time Greats: by Robert K. McCleery and Robert O. Wood 2-6
Similarity Scores;Hall of Fame
On Batting Order: by Doug Bennion 7-11
Line up;Run Production
Bias in Infielding Evaluation 2: Pitching Handedness and Strikeout Tendencies: by Charles Pavitt 12-15
Fielding; Pitching; Strikeouts
Late Homerun Hitters: by Stephen Roney 16
Home Run; Age
Using a Baseball Simulator Program to Calculate Batter Runs Created: by Dallas Adams 17-20
Ruth, Babe Runs Created;Run Production;Computer Simulations;Offensive Winning Percentage

Issue 32-October 1987

A Preliminary Review of Outside Influences on Rich Ashburn's Fielding Statistics: by Bruce H. Garland 3-8,11
Ashburn, Richie;Ennis, Del Fielding;Connie Mack Stadium;Park Factor
1987:How the East Was Won: by Russ Eagle 9-11
1987;St.Louis Cardinals;Runs Created
Pitcher's Defensive Wins and Losses: by Neil Munro 12-17,20
Pitcher;Defensive Won-Lost Percentage
Formulas:Awards: by Tom Hanrahan 18-20
Most Valuable Player;Cy Young Award;Manager of the Year

Issue 33-December 1987

Alternatives for Career Projection: by Bill James 2-4
Career Projection
The 1988 Hall of Fame Ballot: by Robert O. Wood 5-9
Hall of Fame Selecting
Research in Progress: by Bill James 10-15
Career Projection
Sending the Runner: by Doug Bennion 16-20
Strategy;Hit And Run Play;Stealing

Issue 34-February 1988

Run/Opposition Run Connection: by Bill James 1-3
Run Production;1987;Score
Sustained Illusions in Platoon Effects: by Bill James 3-4
Platoon
Markov Chain Models: Theoretical Background: by Mark D. Pankin 5-10
Markov Chain Model; Expected Runs
On The Relief Pitcher's ERA Advantage: by Phil Birnbaum 11-16
Hernandez,Willie;Quisenberry,Dan;Righetti,Dave;Henke,Tom Relief Pitcher; Earned Run Average; Expected Runs;Pitching Changes
Homerun Miscellany: by Stephen Roney 17
Homeruns;1987:Age
Hitter Control vs Pitcher Control: by Russ Eagle 18-20
Pitching;Batting

Issue 35-April 1988

The Effect of Being Traded on Batting Performance:More Academic Baseball Research: by Charlie Pavitt 2-3
Murcer, Bobby Trade;Review;Psychology;Experience
By the Stars: by Bill James 4-5
Astrology;Similarity Scores
Independent Situations and Baseball Statistics: by Dan Heisman 6-7
Clutch Hit;Game-Winning RBI;Victory-Important RBI;Pressure
Are Hall of Fame Standards Declining: by Bill James 8
Hall of Fame Selecting
Rabbit Ball Revisited: by Joe Mangano 9-14
Rabbit Ball;1987
Reflections of a Megalomaniac Editor:Managerial Changes: by Bill James 15
Review;Managerial Change
Reflections of a Megalomaniac Editor:Ballpark Elevation and Humidity: by Bill James 15
Park Factor;Weather;Elevation
Reflections of a Megalomaniac Editor:Effect of Being Traded on Batting: by Bill James 16
Trade;Review
Reflections of a Megalomaniac Editor:Independent Situations: by Bill James 16-18
Clutch Hit;Pressure;Review
Reflections of a Megalomaniac Editor:Rabbit Revisited: by Bill James 18-20
Rabbit Ball;Review;Balata Ball;Dead Ball;Lively Ball

Issue 36-June 1988

Baseball's Hall of Fame Voting System: by Robert O. Wood 2-5
Hall of Fame Selecting
A Brief Look at Left-Handed Pitching Effectiveness: by Dick O'Brien 6-7
Left-Handed Pitcher
Lefties vs Lefties: As Time Goes Bye: by Tom Locker 8-9
Platoon;Left-Handed Batter
Debunking a Pitching Clichè: by Dallas Adams 10-11
Run Production;Pitching
Note on "Lefties vs Lefties": by Bill James 11
Rookies;Platoon;Left-Handed Batter
Predicting Team Performance:Beyond Pythagorean: by Robert Cramer, Robin Ellins and David Lutz 12-14
Pythagorean Projection;Run Production;Winning
Response to Cramer et al: by Bill James 15
Run Production
Adventures in Computer Simulations: by Gary Fletcher 16-20
Lineup;Simulations;Run Production

Issue 37-August 1988

Introduction, with comments on Heisman, "Independent Situations": by Bill James 1-2
Pressure Situations;Baseball Abstract
Ball Park Effects on Home Runs: by Robert K. McCleery and Robert O. Wood 3-6
DiMaggio,Joe;Dawson, Andre
Late Homerun Hitters Revisited: by Stephen Roney 7-8
Home Runs;Age
Leadoff Man and His Effect on the Lineup: by Gary Fletcher 9-11
Line Up;Runs Created;Leadoff;Simulations
Why Everyone Wants Lefty Pitching: by Dick O'Brien 12-13
Left-Handed Pitcher
Thirty-Homer Guys: A Four Part Study: by Bill James 14-20
Canseco, Jose;Kingman,Dave Homeruns;Similarity Scores

Issue 38-October 1988

Player Win Averages: An Extended Book Review: by Paul R. Pudaite 2-7
Player Win Averages;Run Production;Clutch Hitter
Predicting Ws and Ls from Runs Scored and Allowed: by Willie Runquist 8-9
Soolman;Cook,Earnshaw Win-Loss Record;Pythagorean Projection
Response to "Predicting Ws and Ls from Runs": by Bill James 10
Soolman;Cook,Earnshaw Win-Loss Record;Pythagorean Projection
Fred McMullin: An Underrated Crook?: by Mike Kopf 11
McMullin, Fred; Chicago White Sox;Black Sox;1919 World Series
Peer Comparison System: by Andy Spark 12-15
Comparison
Intra-season Statistical Trends: by Dallas Adams 16-18
1987s;Statistics
Hall of Fame Note: by Bill James 19-20
Hall of Fame Selecting

Issue 39-December 1988

An Addendum to Bruce Garland's Preliminary Review Of Outside Influences on Rich Ashburn's Fielding Statistics: by Bill Carr 2-3
Ashburn, Richie;Roberts, Robin Outfield;Fielding
Breaking in a Catcher: by Tom Hanrahan 4-6
Catcher;Earned Run Average
Pitcher Run Average: by Doug Bennion 7-10
Earned Run Average;Pitcher Run Average:Run Potential
Racism in Baseball:Offensive Performance: by James R. McNesby 11-15
Racism
Parity: A New Look: by Robert K. McCleery and Robert O. Wood 16-20
Parity; Law of Competitive Balance;Luck;Expansion

Issue 40-February 1989

Clutch Situations: by Tom Hanrahan 2-3
Run Production;Base Situation;Run Potential;Clutch Hitter
How I Screwed Up: by Gary Fletcher 4-5
Runs Created;Simulations
Validating Simulation Programs: Some Benchmarks: by Kenneth McLain 6-7
Runs Created;Simulations;Run Production
Home Field Advantage Revisted: by Jim Heg 8-13
Home Advantage;Win-Loss Record;Pythagorean Projection
On Why Teams Don't Repeat: by Phil Birnbaum 14-20
Win-Loss Record;Luck;Talent;Whirlpool Principle;Plexiglass Principle