Kevin Harlow
email: harlowk22(nospam)@cox.net

Family Pictures
A Glance at the 1913 National League Caught Stealing Data - Contains the 1913 National League caught stealing data.

A DIPS-Based Pitcher Game Score Equivalent to Support Neutral Win Probability - With a title like that, what more needs to be said!?

OPS Junk, Part III - OPS from BA and HR (and G)

Reformulating BaseRuns as a Nonlinear, Context-Based Linear Weights Baseball Run Estimator - The BaseRuns equivalent run value of each event is explicitly given in functional form.

Baseball's All-Time Best Non-Pitchers (Win Shares Based) - includes rankings based on the "objective function" in the New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract, a modified version of the objective function, career Wins Above Average using win whares, career Wins Above Replacement using win shares, a combination of WAA and WAR, and positional rankings.

Decision Shares - Part I: Team

Run-Shaping Ability (Pitching to the Score?)

Players with the Highest BBWAA HOF Vote % Not in the Hall of Fame

Estimating Event Rates - A method for estimating batting event rates given BA, OBP, and SLG

WHIP as a Function of OBP

OPS Junk, Part II - A simple way to convert OPS to batting wins above a reference level

Breakin' Down the WHIP - WHIP in terms of SO/PA, BB/PA, HR/PA, and $H.

ERA++ - distribution adjusted ERA+

ERA+ to Support Neutral Win/Loss Percentage

OPS Junk, Part I - converting OPS to run rate stat, and more

Extreme Ratios of *RA+ to *ERA+ - which pitchers' *ERA+ is out of line with their *RA+?

Estimating a Team's Rest-of-Season Winning Percentage

Matsui Speculation - jumping to conclusions on Matsui's MLB performance based on 7 words!

Stopper Usage Patterns - some comments on Rob Wood's "More on the Modern Bullpen"

An Analysis of Rankings in The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract

Cost Analysis of the 3-Team Hampton Trade

Use of Retrosheet Data for Assessing Player Memories

Dick Allen: Beane Count Influence


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